By any reasonable standard, 2010 was a bad year for Yankee first-baseman Mark Teixeira. After putting up MVP-caliber numbers the year before (.292/.383/.565), Tex’s numbers fell in every offensive category, except walks (oddly enough, his otherwise-worst year at the plate also featured a career-high 93 walks). In my profile of the Yankee offense at the beginning of the season, I assumed, like everyone else, that it was a fluke.
Unfortunately, it might not have been. This year, although he’s produced plenty of runs (32 HRs, 86 RBI), his career-low .249 BA is hard to understand for a guy who, until last year, hadn’t hit below .280 since his rookie year. Teixeira knows that, at 31, he’s too young to be physically declining and especially so since his power numbers remain strong. But numbers don’t lie. So to what does he attribute it?
Asked to identify why a hitter who was once so complete might have experienced such a noticeable drop, Teixeira said he believed one factor was the defensive alignments teams are increasingly using against him when he bats left-handed.
In the shift, three of the four infielders move to the first-base side of the diamond to neutralize his tendency to pull the ball.
“Obviously I’m losing hits to the shift,” Teixeira said. “How much? I don’t know. But I’d guess something.”
According to Yankees hitting coach Kevin Long, Tex is losing 15-20 points off his batting average to the shift. I didn’t crunch the numbers myself but it makes sense. It explains why Tex still gets his walks, strikes out about the same, and hits for power. I started getting nervous when he went on a home run tear in June. Obviously, he was seeing the ball well, but during that span his batting average only hovered around .260. The power meant he wasn’t slumping. Something else had to be going on.
At the end of the day, a .850 OPS is nothing to sneeze at and the Yankee lineup is certainly deep enough to pick up any slack. But long-term, Tex has to adjust if he’s to continue contributing over the next few years. This isn’t a slump he has to get out of, like must of us assumed last year. Teams just figured out how to defend him.
There’s no shortage of ballplayers who have a few good years and flame out at 30. I’ve been a fan of Tex since the trade rumors about the Yankees first surfaced in ’08. At the time, I considered him one of the most complete players in the game. He hit .300, hit for power, drew walks, and played a Gold Glove first-base. But he’s on the verge of withdrawing into irrelevance if he doesn’t adjust his game. Next year will make or break Tex’s legacy. If he’s the elite hitter I always thought he was, we should see a dangerous Mark Teixeira back at the heart of the Yankee lineup.